The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers equally come into this Saturdays match.
LSU beat against the Longhorns and moved to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp last weekend. However, during this weeks matchup in Death Valley, the two teams seem to take more than a top-four spot in the race .
Floridas defense leads the solution in their opinion. They have given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also have not given up a point from the 4th quarter since their opener. As he went 11 for 27 with three INTs into making poor decisions that were several last week Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered.
However, Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a seasoned quarterback and has led LSU. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in school football. This includes the 45 they dumped on Texas on the street.
Together with Death Valley awaitings roar , the Gators come in as 13-point underdogs around BetNow. Does the No. 5 scoring shield keep this near and cover the spread? Or will Burrow as well as also the No. 2 passing crime keep rolling and likewise win the bet? Heres the breakdown.
There is hardly any uncertainty in Burrows skill . He has converted to a Heisman candidate, obtaining an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
Hes also working with one of the getting teams in the nation. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame, and it has dominated in some huge games. Chase is a physical existence on the other side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is an experienced goal that can fill the spot. It is all a part of a passing game thats Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face by far the DB unit they have played all season. Northwestern State is an FCS group, but here are the yards-per-attempt given up by the other competitions of LSU: Texas 124th, Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Florida sits in 33rd, even although its safe to say they have yet to play a QB of Burrows standard. They have played two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson has been preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis creates a lot of havoc in the secondary (111 yards on three INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on spot, but has a high ceiling.
Burrow will face a, which will be healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami over the opening week. Jabari Zuniga, thought to be their best is coming back from injury. With him on one side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) on the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate in their o-line will be analyzed.
Ever since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered by an opposing defensive lineup Even though his consciousness need to enhance from the pocket. Auburns is the best in the nation, and ranks 11th in line yards, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and is now 85th in bag speed. They will rely upon blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask. The Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not portable out of it. He sprained a knee and wore a leg brace when he reentered the match.
With the LBs All-American safety Grant Delpit needs to produce big in coverage. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs success on D.
LSU—like Floridas secondary—is most considered DBU for the talent they have on the perimeter of their own defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances which should land him on the All-Freshman group, or even longer, in 2019.
On the opposite side of him will soon be Kristian Fulton, that allowed the smallest sum of downs this past year out of returning FBS corners. Itll be given an opportunity against a pressured Trask though this group is in passing yards allowed per-game, 69th.
Balance will be crucial as for Florida, that hasnt got their running game this season going. Lamical Perine broke a tackle at the line on his approach last weekend. In spite of that, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and also can be going up against the No. 1 d-line in terms of power success (short-yardage scenarios ).
While the LSU front may not be strong. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the ground, and thats including Perines long run and also a 76-yard receiver sweep that closed out the Kentucky match.
When they dont get Dameon or even Perine Pierce going it places ways too much strain on Trask at a hostile environment.
Florida has earned respect after week from the school football world. And while I do not expect them to come out from Death Valley, I do see this sport staying closer than most.
LSUs offense made strides, also Burrow is just one of the QBs in the FBS. However, LSU isnt going to install 45 or something close to this against a defense who is known at all three levels. Their pass-rush has developed with Greenard wreaking havoc.
As the group has relied upon them much too much to modify the wave in games, the Gators defense will probably work out with time. Marco Wilson is going to be the subject against Jefferson or the bodily Chase into a PIs.
But I dont expect this. Maintaining the game in enough of a slog till then makes Florida the bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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